2010 NHL Entry Draft Preview

Hockey Betting Lines

06/22/2010 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The National Hockey League will hold its annual Entry Draft this weekend at the Staples Center in Los Angeles, and the Edmonton Oilers, holders of this year's No. 1 overall pick, will get the event started Friday evening.

The Oilers entered the draft lottery in April with the best chance at landing the top pick and for the third straight year the club with the worst record in the NHL wound up with the No. 1 overall selection. This marks the first time that Edmonton has held the top pick at the NHL draft.

It is widely believed that the first two picks in this year's draft will be used to select forwards from the OHL, as the most talked about prospects leading up to Friday's first round have clearly been Taylor Hall and Tyler Seguin.

A winger, Hall poured in 57 goals in 76 games, including the playoffs, for Windsor last year and helped the Spitfires win their second straight Memorial Cup. Seguin, who has drawn comparisons to Hall of Fame centerman Steve Yzerman, led the OHL with 48 goals during last year's regular season.

Draft experts believe the Oilers will take Hall over Seguin in the top spot despite Seguin's standing as the top-ranked North American skater by NHL Central Scouting. Hall is considered to have the bigger upside as an offensive player at the next level due to his blazing speed.

Whatever way the Oilers go, the Boston Bruins are just happy to be picking second this year. Boston was the top seed in the Eastern Conference playoffs in 2009 and made it to the conference semifinals this past spring. The Bruins are picking this high due to their trade of Phil Kessel to Toronto prior to the start of the 2009-10 season.

Either Hall or Seguin will do nicely for the offensively-challenged Bruins, who certainly would like to add another scorer following this spring's playoff meltdown. Boston infamously blew a 3-0 series lead to Philadelphia in the postseason, becoming just the third team in NHL history to lose a series after holding a three-games-to-none edge.

But, after Hall and Seguin, the picture gets a bit cloudier. Erik Gudbranson and Cam Fowler, a pair of defensemen from the OHL, are considered to be the best blueliners available and could both go in the top-five.

The top European player to be selected could be Nino Niederreiter, but for scouting purposes the Swiss winger is listed among North American skaters because he plays for Portland in the WHL. Niederreiter's combination of size and playmaking ability caught the scouts attention at the 2010 World Junior Championships.

Finnish forward Mikael Granlund doesn't have the size of Niederreiter, but he is the top-rated European skater by Central Scouting. Granlund was named Rookie of the Year at the top level of Finnish professional hockey in 2009-10 and showed an innate ability to create scoring chances for his teammates. He has been described as a "Saku Koivu clone".

Once again there isn't a goaltender eligible for this year's draft that could be considered a can't-miss prospect, although Calvin Pickard, a prospect from the WHL, is considered to be the best of the bunch.

The most intriguing unknown heading into every draft is how actively teams will pursue or entertain trades. After all, the majority of the players selected this weekend won't be making any kind of impact for NHL teams over the next few years, but there is proven professional talent to be had via trades at the draft.

The first round of the 2010 NHL Entry Draft will begin Friday evening at 7 p.m. (et) and rounds 2-7 will start on Saturday morning at 1 p.m. (et). The entire first-round order is as follows:

1. Edmonton 2. Boston (from TOR) 3. Florida 4. Columbus 5. NY Islanders 6. Tampa Bay 7. Carolina 8. Atlanta 9. Minnesota 10. NY Rangers 11. Dallas 12. Anaheim 13. Phoenix (from CAL) 14. St. Louis 15. Boston 16. Ottawa 17. Colorado 18. Nashville 19. Los Angeles 20. Pittsburgh 21. Detroit 22. Phoenix 23. Buffalo 24. Atlanta (from NJD) 25. Vancouver 26. Washington 27. Montreal 28. San Jose 29. Anaheim (from PHI) 30. Chicago

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Betting Football

NFL Football Betting Online

Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.

Pacific-10 Conference odds

Teams that should be in: Stanford

Oregon and USC get their tickets punched after taking care of business this weekend. Yes, the Trojans' computer numbers aren't great, but there's no way the third-place team in this league is getting nixed. Grudgingly, I added Arizona after consultation with our Bracketologist. I don't know that Arizona will lose its last three (including a Pac-10 quarterfinal game), and even if the Cats do, I still can't see how they'd be left out, given the overall profile. That said, it bears watching, as three more L's would leave them at 18-12 (9-9) and on a 6-11 skid entering the Dance. It would be nice to see the Wildcats get at least one W in the Bay Area next week, as Cincinnati (albeit without Armein Kirkland and with a worse profile) was axed after a similar slide last season. I just couldn't rationalize having some of the other teams as locks and not having Arizona in that category -- there just aren't enough good teams behind the Cats to threaten their spot, it seems. Stanford has its fate in its own hands with the Arizona schools coming to the Farm to close out the regular season next weekend.

Should be in:

Stanford [17-10 (9-7), RPI: 40, SOS: 21] No shame in not getting a win in L.A., but that makes the home game against Arizona State a must-win ahead of what could be an intriguing meeting with Arizona should the Cats lose at Cal. Getting to 11 Pac-10 wins would make Selection Sunday much more comfortable, but 10's probably more than enough this season. The Cardinal have nonconference wins over Texas Tech and at Virginia to lean on, although they also lost badly to Air Force and Santa Clara at home.

Southeastern Conference odds
Work left to do: Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, Mississippi State

It looks more and more possible that no one from the SEC West will make the NCAAs. How weird is that? Tennessee and Vandy move into the locks category after more good work this weekend. Kentucky stays there, although it would be smart for the Cats to handle Georgia at home Wednesday ahead of a trip to the Swamp. Could a disaster scenario (two more L's and a first-round SEC tourney exit) somehow dislodge the Cats despite their incredible computer numbers? Still unlikely, but not worth chancing it.

Work left to do:

Alabama [19-9 (6-8), RPI: 43, SOS: 47] The tough L at Tennessee was understandable, and even created some hope. Unfortunately, that hope was dashed by a home loss to Auburn, which leaves the Tide in some real trouble. There's still no signature win on the profile (no, Kentucky doesn't count), and the computer profile is weakening rapidly. The Tide conceivably could beat Ole Miss and win at Miss. State to get to 8-8 and clinch at least a share of the West crown, but that's probably not enough right now. The Tide will need to do some work in the SEC tourney.

Georgia [16-10 (8-6), RPI: 52, SOS: 23] This is the team with the best chance to make it from this section right now. The Bulldogs rebounded from a terrible performance at Ole Miss to beat down Miss. State. Now they are at Kentucky (king of the RPI 51-100 win) and home to Tennessee. That would be worth a lot of computer points to get both (which is doable), as both teams are in the top 11 in RPI. Finishing at least 9-7 is an absolute must, and I would feel much better about the Dawgs' chances if they got both to get to 10 SEC wins. They also beat Gonzaga, but lost to ACC bubblers Georgia Tech and Clemson.

Mississippi [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 63, SOS: 79] Like everyone else in this division, Ole Miss gacked up a chance to stake a claim, losing by double figures at South Carolina. Even 9-7 likely is not nearly enough with a nonconference profile devoid of anything notable.

Mississippi State [16-11 (7-7), RPI: 66, SOS: 37] With a chance to get in the mix, these Bulldogs were leashed by their Georgia counterparts. Could they get to 9-7? I guess -- although winning at Arkansas, then beating Alabama is no lock -- but would that mean all that much for a team with this overall profile? Probably not. There's nothing of note (on the good side) in the nonconference profile.

For more College Basketball betting lines go to MySportsbook.com

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